Arthur Fuller
fuller.artful at gmail.com
Fri Sep 28 00:05:49 CDT 2007
Several great fragments from Stephen Pinker's "How the Mind Works". 1. Rocks are smarter than cats. (Why?) When you kick them, they don't come back. 2. "Fifty years hence, we shall escape the absurdity of growing a whole chicken in order to eat the breast or wing, by growing these parts separately under a suitable medium." -- Winston Churchill, 1932 3. "Man will never reach the moon, regardless of all future scientific advances." -- Lee DeForest, inventor of the vacuum tube, 1957. <editorial: This part is mine, not Stephen Pinker's> If there's anything we can be sure of, it's that the futurists of our decade and century will be laughable a century hence. Unfortunately, this leads to a strange conclusion. Whatever you imagine will happen will almost certainly not happen. If you think that there will be pollution-free cars in five years, bet against your feeling. If you think that Iran and the USA will have a nuclear contest within a few years, bet against it. If your best guess is that somehow Quebec and the rest of Canada will magically reconcile their centuries-old differences, bet against it. The rude crude law is this: whatever you hope might happen, bet against it. In a final attempt to make this theory relevant to this newsgroup, If you think there are no bugs in your software, bet against it. Before the week is out, a user will prove your bet correct. </editorial> Arthur