[dba-Tech] The Three Doors Problem

I know the answer is to stick with original choice, but I can't remember the logistics of why.

--
Kathryn Rhinehart Bassett (Pasadena CA)
"Genealogy is my bag" "GH is my soap"
kathryn at bassett.net
http://bassett.net    

> -----Original Message-----
> From: dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com 
> [mailto:dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com] On Behalf Of 
> Arthur Fuller
> Sent: 25 Aug 2005 5:04 pm
> To: 'Discussion of Hardware and Software issues'
> Subject: [dba-Tech] The Three Doors Problem
> 
> I am the host of a TV program and you are the guest. This is 
> the deal: there are 3 doors. Behind one of them is $100 
> million. Behind the other two are a dead catfish and a dead 
> pickerel respectively. I invite you to select a door. You 
> choose any one of the three: call it x I open another door, 
> and say, Had you selected door y, you would have won a dead 
> catfish. Now, would you like to stick with your original 
> choice or switch to the other door?
> Does it matter? If not, why not? If so, why so?
> There is a clear answer to this problem. Who is going to be 
> the first to come up with it?
> Arthur
> 
> 
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