[dba-Tech] The state of the web

Hi Shamil:

Considering that Microsoft once held almost 95 percent of the computing
market and now holds about 30 percent, I would not think it impossible for
them to gain back another 9 percent. 

OTOH, the market is much larger, with a growth of over 600 percent since
2005 so that 10 percent, now signifies many more users (6x). 

Jim

-----Original Message-----
From: dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com
[mailto:dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com] On Behalf Of Salakhetdinov
Shamil
Sent: Thursday, December 06, 2012 9:19 AM
To: Discussion of Hardware and Software issues
Subject: Re: [dba-Tech] The state of the web

Hi Hans --

<<<
Microsoft isn't going to grab a 30% market share simply by existing.
>>>

That's Gartner: Windows 8 Tablets To Hold 39% Market Share In Businesses By
2016

http://microsoft-news.com/gartner-windows-8-tablets-to-hold-39-market-share-
in-businesses-by-2016/

Let's hope we will have opportunity to refer to this discussion thread on
year 2016 eve.

Till then,

Yours,

Shamil :)


Четверг,  6 декабря 2012, 6:20  от Hans-Christian Andersen
<hans.andersen at phulse.com>:

>
> But 30% mobile market share in three-five years seems to be almost
guaranteed to MS...
>
>
I'm just curious as to how 30% is almost guaranteed? Where does this number
come from? The current market share is in the low single digits and not
growing all that much.
>
>
> And as you say "Microsoft is doing fantastic job with Xbox" so adapting
that experience to MS mobile, using mobile devices together with Xbox should
make MS positions even stronger?
>
>
This is unlikely. The Xbox had a "killer app" in the form of Halo and also
was (and still is) way ahead of the competition with Xbox Live. This is what
helped them succeed from being the new kid on the block among established
heavy weights and they are smartly building on top of that success with
great new features.
>
>
I don't see anything like that for the Windows Phone platform. Why would
anyone adopt it? Everyone else is using iPhones and Android phones, who both
seem to be quite satisfied with their platforms. They both have much larger
app stores and higher profile apps. It needs to be something more than
simply a few bells and whistles, like integrating it with the Xbox. It would
be a nice touch, but the Xbox has only ever sold 70 million units in total
(since 2005). Contrast that with 45 million iPhone 5's to be sold by the end
of this year (and it was released this September). With numbers like that,
you can see that its not really going to be a significant selling point for
most consumers.
>
>
To add to that, some people have a strong loyalty to Microsoft, such as
yourself, but most do not. Most Windows users use Windows because that is
what they are accustomed to it and because it is shipped on every computer
by default anyways - not because that they feel strongly for the Microsoft
brand nor because they make a conscious decision as a consumer that Windows
is the best computer OS compared to the alternatives. In other words, they
continue to succeed here by sheer force of monopoly.
>
>
However, they are in a different position with Windows Phone, which is in
such a weak position at the moment. They really need that killer
app/feature/innovation to draw peoples attention and I'm not aware of
anything. They need an "Angry Birds" exclusive to WP8 or something to that
effect.
>
>
Microsoft isn't going to grab a 30% market share simply by existing.
>
>
- Hans
><<< skipped >>>

>
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