[dba-Tech] Was: World Series Question, not Coin Toss Question

Stuart McLachlan stuart at lexacorp.com.pg
Mon Jan 14 21:29:21 CST 2013


Probablilty = 0.4285714285714286

Odds =  3:4   

15 wins out of 35 possible outcomes.

-- 
Stuart

On 14 Jan 2013 at 20:42, Arthur Fuller wrote:

> A few days back I posed a problem about the World Series of baseball, which
> was this: Assume equal teams; for those unacquainted with baseball, the
> World Series is a series of 7 games maximum; the winner is the first team
> to win 4 games.
> 
> I should have known better than to pose the problem in terms of baseball,
> since there are so many "external" factors. So let me re-pose the problem
> in terms of coin-tosses. The winner is still the one who wins 4 tosses.
> Suppose I win the first toss. What is the probability that you will win the
> series?
> 
> -- 
> Arthur
> Cell: 647.710.1314
> 
> Prediction is difficult, especially of the future.
>   -- Niels Bohr
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