[dba-Tech] Was: World Series Question, not Coin Toss Question

The math is complex.  It is far simpler to solve it iteratively as a binary tree.

Here it is graphically:
http://camcopng.com/arthurcointoss.xls

-- 
Stuart

On 14 Jan 2013 at 19:38, Jim Lawrence wrote:

> You guys show us the math. ;-)
> 
> Jim
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com
> [mailto:dba-tech-bounces at databaseadvisors.com] On Behalf Of Arthur Fuller
> Sent: Monday, January 14, 2013 7:36 PM
> To: Discussion of Hardware and Software issues
> Subject: Re: [dba-Tech] Was: World Series Question, not Coin Toss Question
> 
> According to my calculations you are incorrect. Your estimate of the total
> outcomes is way wrong.
> 
> A.
> 
> 
> On Mon, Jan 14, 2013 at 10:29 PM, Stuart McLachlan
> <stuart at lexacorp.com.pg>wrote:
> 
> >
> > Probablilty = 0.4285714285714286
> >
> > Odds =  3:4
> >
> > 15 wins out of 35 possible outcomes.
> >
> > --
> > Stuart
> > pecially of the future.
> >
>   -- Niels Bohr
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